死在火星上_第76章 对火星轨道变化问题的最后解释 首页

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作者君在作品相关中已经解释过这个问题,并在此列出相关参考文献中的一篇开源论文。
以下是文章内容:
Long-termintegrationsandstabilityofpnetaryorbitsinourSorsystem
Abstract
Wepresenttheresultsofverylong-termnumericalintegrationsofpnetaryorbitalmotionsover109-yrtime-spansincludingallninepnets.Aquickinspectionofournumericaldatashowsthatthepnetarymotion,atleastinoursimpledynamicalmodel,seemstobequitestableevenoverthisverylongtime-span.Acloserlookatthelowest-frequencyosciltionsusingalow-passfiltershowsusthepotentiallydiffusivecharacterofterrestrialpnetarymotion,especiallythatofMercury.ThebehaviouroftheeccentricityofMercuryinourintegrationsisqualitativelysimirtotheresultsfromJacquesskar'ssecurperturbationtheory(e.g.emax0.35over±4Gyr).However,therearenoapparentsecurincreasesofeccentricityorinclinationinanyorbitalelementsofthepnets,whichmayberevealedbystilllonger-termnumericalintegrations.Wehavealsoperformedacoupleoftrialintegrationsincludingmotionsoftheouterfivepnetsoverthedurationof±5×1010yr.TheresultindicatesthatthethreemajorresonancesintheNeptune–Plutosystemhavebeenmaintainedoverthe1011-yrtime-span.
1Introduction
1.1Definitionoftheproblem
ThequestionofthestabilityofourSorsystemhasbeendebatedoverseveralhundredyears,sincetheeraofNewton.Theproblemhasattractedmanyfamousmathematiciansovertheyearsandhaspyedacentralroleinthedevelopmentofnon-lineardynamicsandchaostheory.However,wedonotyethaveadefiniteanswertothequestionofwhetherourSorsystemisstableornot.Thisispartlyaresultofthefactthatthedefinitionoftheterm‘stability’isvaguewhenitisusedinretiontotheproblemofpnetarymotionintheSorsystem.Actuallyitisnoteasytogiveaclear,rigorousandphysicallymeaningfuldefinitionofthestabilityofourSorsystem.
Amongmanydefinitionsofstability,hereweadopttheHilldefinition(Gdman1993):actuallythisisnotadefinitionofstability,butofinstability.Wedefineasystemasbecomingunstablewhenacloseencounteroccurssomewhereinthesystem,startingfromacertaininitialconfiguration(Chambers,Wetherilmp;amp;Boss1996;Itoamp;amp;Tanikawa1999).AsystemisdefinedasexperiencingacloseencounterwhentwobodiesapproachoneanotherwithinanareaofthergerHillradius.Otherwisethesystemisdefinedasbeingstable.HenceforwardwestatethatourpnetarysystemisdynamicallystableifnocloseencounterhappensduringtheageofourSorsystem,about±5Gyr.Incidentally,thisdefinitionmayberepcedbyoneinwhichanoccurrenceofanyorbitalcrossingbetweeneitherofapairofpnetstakespce.Thisisbecauseweknowfromexperiencethatanorbitalcrossingisverylikelytoleadtoacloseencounterinpnetaryandprotopnetarysystems(Yoshinaga,Kokuboamp;amp;Makino1999).OfcoursethisstatementcannotbesimplyappliedtosystemswithstableorbitalresonancessuchastheNeptune–Plutosystem.
1.2Previousstudiesandaimsofthisresearch
Inadditiontothevaguenessoftheconceptofstability,thepnetsinourSorsystemshowacharactertypicalofdynamicalchaos(Sussmanamp;amp;Wisdom1988,1992).Thecauseofthischaoticbehaviourisnowpartlyunderstoodasbeingaresultofresonanceoverpping(Murrayamp;amp;Holman1999;Lecar,Franklinamp;amp;Holman2001).However,itwouldrequireintegratingoveranensembleofpnetarysystemsincludingallninepnetsforaperiodcoveringseveral10Gyrtothoroughlyunderstandthelong-termevolutionofpnetaryorbits,sincechaoticdynamicalsystemsarecharacterizedbytheirstrongdependenceoninitialconditions.
Fromthatpointofview,manyofthepreviouslong-termnumericalintegrationsincludedonlytheouterfivepnets(Sussmanamp;amp;Wisdom1988;Kinoshitaamp;amp;Nakai1996).Thisisbecausetheorbitalperiodsoftheouterpnetsaresomuchlongerthanthoseoftheinnerfourpnetsthatitismucheasiertofollowthesystemforagivenintegrationperiod.Atpresent,thelongestnumericalintegrationspublishedinjournalsarethoseofDuncanamp;amp;Lissauer(1998).Althoughtheirmaintargetwastheeffectofpost-main-sequencesormasslossonthestabilityofpnetaryorbits,theyperformedmanyintegrationscoveringupto1011yroftheorbitalmotionsofthefourjovianpnets.TheinitialorbitalelementsandmassesofpnetsarethesameasthoseofourSorsysteminDuncanamp;amp;Lissauer'spaper,buttheydecreasethemassoftheSungraduallyintheirnumericalexperiments.Thisisbecausetheyconsidertheeffectofpost-main-sequencesormasslossinthepaper.Consequently,theyfoundthatthecrossingtime-scaleofpnetaryorbits,whichcanbeatypicalindicatoroftheinstabilitytime-scale,isquitesensitivetotherateofmassdecreaseoftheSun.WhenthemassoftheSunisclosetoitspresentvalue,thejovianpnetsremainstableover1010yr,orperhapslonger.Duncanamp;amp;Lissaueralsoperformedfoursimirexperimentsontheorbitalmotionofsevenpnets(VenustoNeptune),whichcoveraspanof109yr.Theirexperimentsonthesevenpnetsarenotyetcomprehensive,butitseemsthattheterrestrialpnetsalsoremainstableduringtheintegrationperiod,maintainingalmostregurosciltions.
Ontheotherhand,inhisaccuratesemi-analyticalsecurperturbationtheory(skar1988),skarfindsthatrgeandirregurvariationscanappearintheeccentricitiesandinclinationsoftheterrestrialpnets,especiallyofMercuryandMarsonatime-scaleofseveral109yr(skar1996).Theresultsofskar'ssecurperturbationtheoryshouldbeconfirmedandinvestigatedbyfullynumericalintegrations.
Inthispaperwepresentpreliminaryresultsofsixlong-termnumericalintegrationsonallninepnetaryorbits,coveringaspanofseveral109yr,andoftwootherintegrationscoveringaspanof±5×1010yr.Thetotalepsedtimeforallintegrationsismorethan5yr,usingseveraldedicatedPCsandworkstations.Oneofthefundamentalconclusionsofourlong-termintegrationsisthatSorsystempnetarymotionseemstobestableintermsoftheHillstabilitymentionedabove,atleastoveratime-spanof±4Gyr.Actually,inournumericalintegrationsthesystemwasfarmorestablethanwhatisdefinedbytheHillstabilitycriterion:notonlydidnocloseencounterhappenduringtheintegrationperiod,butalsoallthepnetaryorbitalelementshavebeenconfinedinanarrowregionbothintimeandfrequencydomain,thoughpnetarymotionsarestochastic.Sincethepurposeofthispaperistoexhibitandoverviewtheresultsofourlong-termnumericalintegrations,weshowtypicalexamplefiguresasevidenceoftheverylong-termstabilityofSorsystempnetarymotion.Forreaderswhohavemorespecificanddeeperinterestsinournumericalresults,wehavepreparedawebpage(access),whereweshowraworbitalelements,theirlow-passfilteredresults,variationofDeunayelementsandangurmomentumdeficit,andresultsofoursimpletime–frequencyanalysisonallofourintegrations.
InSection2webrieflyexpinourdynamicalmodel,numericalmethodandinitialconditionsusedinourintegrations.Section3isdevotedtoadescriptionofthequickresultsofthenumericalintegrations.Verylong-termstabilityofSorsystempnetarymotionisapparentbothinpnetarypositionsandorbitalelements.Aroughestimationofnumericalerrorsisalsogiven.Section4goesontoadiscussionofthelongest-termvariationofpnetaryorbitsusingalow-passfilterandincludesadiscussionofangurmomentumdeficit.InSection5,wepresentasetofnumericalintegrationsfortheouterfivepnetsthatspans±5×1010yr.InSection6wealsodiscussthelong-termstabilityofthepnetarymotionanditspossiblecause.
2Descriptionofthenumericalintegrations
(本部分涉及比较复杂的积分计算,作者君就不贴上来了,贴上来了起点也不一定能成功显示。)
2.3Numericalmethod
Weutilizeasecond-orderWisdom–Holmansymplecticmapasourmainintegrationmethod(Wisdomamp;amp;Holman1991;Kinoshita,Yoshidaamp;amp;Nakai1991)withaspecialstart-upproceduretoreducethetruncationerrorofanglevariables,‘warmstart’(Sahaamp;amp;Tremaine1992,1994).
Thestepsizeforthenumericalintegrationsis8dthroughoutallintegrationsoftheninepnets(N±1,2,3),whichisabout111oftheorbitalperiodoftheinnermostpnet(Mercury).Asforthedeterminationofstepsize,wepartlyfollowthepreviousnumericalintegrationofallninepnetsinSussmanamp;amp;Wisdom(1988,7.2d)andSahaamp;amp;Tremaine(1994,22532d).Weroundedthedecimalpartofthetheirstepsizesto8tomakethestepsizeamultipleof2inordertoreducetheaccumutionofround-offerrorinthecomputationprocesses.Inretiontothis,Wisdomamp;amp;Holman(1991)performednumericalintegrationsoftheouterfivepnetaryorbitsusingthesymplecticmapwithastepsizeof400d,110.83oftheorbitalperiodofJupiter.Theirresultseemstobeaccurateenough,whichpartlyjustifiesourmethodofdeterminingthestepsize.However,sincetheeccentricityofJupiter(0.05)ismuchsmallerthanthatofMercury(0.2),weneedsomecarewhenwecomparetheseintegrationssimplyintermsofstepsizes.
Intheintegrationoftheouterfivepnets(F±),wefixedthestepsizeat400d.
WeadoptGauss'fandgfunctionsinthesymplecticmaptogetherwiththethird-orderHalleymethod(Danby1992)asasolverforKeplerequations.ThenumberofmaximumiterationswesetinHalley'smethodis15,buttheyneverreachedthemaximuminanyofourintegrations.
Theintervalofthedataoutputis200000d(547yr)forthecalcutionsofallninepnets(N±1,2,3),andabout8000000d(21903yr)fortheintegrationoftheouterfivepnets(F±).
Althoughnooutputfilteringwasdonewhenthenumericalintegrationswereinprocess,weappliedalow-passfiltertotheraworbitaldataafterwehadcompletedallthecalcutions.SeeSection4.1formoredetail.
2.4Errorestimation
2.4.1Retiveerrorsintotalenergyandangurmomentum
Accordingtooneofthebasicpropertiesofsymplecticintegrators,whichconservethephysicallyconservativequantitieswell(totalorbitalenergyandangurmomentum),ourlong-termnumericalintegrationsseemtohavebeenperformedwithverysmallerrors.Theaveragedretiveerrorsoftotalenergy(109)andoftotangurmomentum(1011)haveremainednearlyconstantthroughouttheintegrationperiod(Fig.1).Thespecialstartupprocedure,warmstart,wouldhavereducedtheaveragedretiveerrorintotalenergybyaboutoneorderofmagnitudeormore.
RetivenumericalerrorofthetotangurmomentumδAA0andthetotalenergyδEE0inournumericalintegrationsN±1,2,3,whereδEandδAaretheabsolutechangeofthetotalenergyandtotangurmomentum,respectively,andE0andA0aretheirinitialvalues.ThehorizontalunitisGyr.
Notethatdifferentoperatingsystems,differentmathematicallibraries,anddifferenthardwarearchitecturesresultindifferentnumericalerrors,throughthevariationsinround-offerrorhandlingandnumericalgorithms.IntheupperpanelofFig.1,wecanrecognizethissituationinthesecurnumericalerrorinthetotangurmomentum,whichshouldberigorouslypreserveduptomachine-εprecision.
2.4.2Errorinpnetarylongitudes
SincethesymplecticmapspreservetotalenergyandtotangurmomentumofN-bodydynamicalsystemsinherentlywell,thedegreeoftheirpreservationmaynotbeagoodmeasureoftheaccuracyofnumericalintegrations,especiallyasameasureofthepositionalerrorofpnets,i.e.theerrorinpnetarylongitudes.Toestimatethenumericalerrorinthepnetarylongitudes,weperformedthefollowingprocedures.Wecomparedtheresultofourmainlong-termintegrationswithsometestintegrations,whichspanmuchshorterperiodsbutwithmuchhigheraccuracythanthemainintegrations.Forthispurpose,weperformedamuchmoreaccurateintegrationwithastepsizeof0.125d(164ofthemainintegrations)spanning3×105yr,startingwiththesameinitialconditionsasintheN1integration.Weconsiderthatthistestintegrationprovidesuswitha‘pseudo-true’solutionofpnetaryorbitalevolution.Next,wecomparethetestintegrationwiththemainintegration,N1.Fortheperiodof3×105yr,weseeadifferenceinmeananomaliesoftheEarthbetweenthetwointegrationsof0.52°(inthecaseoftheN1integration).Thisdifferencecanbeextrapotedtothevalue8700°,about25rotationsofEarthafter5Gyr,sincetheerroroflongitudesincreaseslinearlywithtimeinthesymplecticmap.Simirly,thelongitudeerrorofPlutocanbeestimatedas12°.ThisvalueforPlutoismuchbetterthantheresultinKinoshitaamp;amp;Nakai(1996)wherethedifferenceisestimatedas60°.
3Numericalresults–I.Gnceattherawdata
Inthissectionwebrieflyreviewthelong-termstabilityofpnetaryorbitalmotionthroughsomesnapshotsofrawnumericaldata.Theorbitalmotionofpnetsindicateslong-termstabilityinallofournumericalintegrations:noorbitalcrossingsnorcloseencountersbetweenanypairofpnetstookpce.
3.1Generaldescriptionofthestabilityofpnetaryorbits
First,webrieflylookatthegeneralcharacterofthelong-termstabilityofpnetaryorbits.Ourinterestherefocusesparticurlyontheinnerfourterrestrialpnetsforwhichtheorbitaltime-scalesaremuchshorterthanthoseoftheouterfivepnets.AswecanseeclearlyfromthepnarorbitalconfigurationsshowninFigs2and3,orbitalpositionsoftheterrestrialpnetsdifferlittlebetweentheinitiandfinalpartofeachnumericalintegration,whichspansseveralGyr.Thesolidlinesdenotingthepresentorbitsofthepnetsliealmostwithintheswarmofdotseveninthefinalpartofintegrations(b)and(d).Thisindicatesthatthroughouttheentireintegrationperiodthealmostregurvariationsofpnetaryorbitalmotionremainnearlythesameastheyareatpresent.
Verticalviewofthefourinnerpnetaryorbits(fromthez-axisdirection)attheinitiandfinalpartsoftheintegrationsN±1.Theaxesunitsareau.Thexy-pneissettotheinvariantpneofSorsystemtotangurmomentum.(a)TheinitialpartofN+1(t=0to0.0547×109yr).(b)ThefinalpartofN+1(t=4.9339×108to4.9886×109yr).(c)TheinitialpartofN1(t=0to0.0547×109yr).(d)ThefinalpartofN1(t=3.9180×109to3.9727×109yr).Ineachpanel,atotalof23684pointsareplottedwithanintervalofabout2190yrover5.47×107yr.Solidlinesineachpaneldenotethepresentorbitsofthefourterrestrialpnets(takenfromDE245).
ThevariationofeccentricitiesandorbitalinclinationsfortheinnerfourpnetsintheinitiandfinalpartoftheintegrationN+1isshowninFig.4.Asexpected,thecharacterofthevariationofpnetaryorbitalelementsdoesnotdiffersignificantlybetweentheinitiandfinalpartofeachintegration,atleastforVenus,EarthandMars.TheelementsofMercury,especiallyitseccentricity,seemtochangetoasignificantextent.Thisispartlybecausetheorbitaltime-scaleofthepnetistheshortestofallthepnets,whichleadstoamorerapidorbitalevolutionthanotherpnets;theinnermostpnetmaybenearesttoinstability.Thisresultappearstobeinsomeagreementwithskar's(1994,1996)expectationsthatrgeandirregurvariationsappearintheeccentricitiesandinclinationsofMercuryonatime-scaleofseveral109yr.However,theeffectofthepossibleinstabilityoftheorbitofMercurymaynotfatallyaffecttheglobalstabilityofthewholepnetarysystemowingtothesmallmassofMercury.Wewillmentionbrieflythelong-termorbitalevolutionofMercuryterinSection4usinglow-passfilteredorbitalelements.
Theorbitalmotionoftheouterfivepnetsseemsrigorouslystableandquitereguroverthistime-span(seealsoSection5).
3.2Time–frequencymaps
Althoughthepnetarymotionexhibitsverylong-termstabilitydefinedasthenon-existenceofcloseencounterevents,thechaoticnatureofpnetarydynamicscanchangetheosciltoryperiodandamplitudeofpnetaryorbitalmotiongraduallyoversuchlongtime-spans.Evensuchslightfluctuationsoforbitalvariationinthefrequencydomain,particurlyinthecaseofEarth,canpotentiallyhaveasignificanteffectonitssurfaceclimatesystemthroughsorinsotionvariation(cf.Berger1988).
Togiveanoverviewofthelong-termchangeinperiodicityinpnetaryorbitalmotion,weperformedmanyfastFouriertransformations(FFTs)alongthetimeaxis,andsuperposedtheresultingperiodgramstodrawtwo-dimensionaltime–frequencymaps.Thespecificapproachtodrawingthesetime–frequencymapsinthispaperisverysimple–muchsimplerthanthewaveletanalysisorskar's(1990,1993)frequencyanalysis.
Dividethelow-passfilteredorbitaldataintomanyfragmentsofthesamelenh.Thelenhofeachdatasegmentshouldbeamultipleof2inordertoapplytheFFT.
Eachfragmentofthedatahasargeoverppingpart:forexample,whentheithdatabeginsfromt=tiandendsatt=ti+T,thenextdatasegmentrangesfromti+δT≤ti+δT+T,whereδT?T.WecontinuethisdivisionuntilwereachacertainnumberNbywhichtn+Treachesthetotalintegrationlenh.
WeapplyanFFTtoeachofthedatafragments,andobtainnfrequencydiagrams.
Ineachfrequencydiagramobtainedabove,thestrenhofperiodicitycanberepcedbyagrey-scale(orcolour)chart.
Weperformtherepcement,andconnectallthegrey-scale(orcolour)chartsintoonegraphforeachintegration.Thehorizontaxisofthesenewgraphsshouldbethetime,i.e.thestartingtimesofeachfragmentofdata(ti,wherei=1,…,n).Theverticaxisrepresentstheperiod(orfrequency)oftheosciltionoforbitalelements.
WehaveadoptedanFFTbecauseofitsoverwhelmingspeed,sincetheamountofnumericaldatatobedecomposedintofrequencycomponentsisterriblyhuge(severaltensofGbytes).
Atypicalexampleofthetime–frequencymapcreatedbytheaboveproceduresisshowninagrey-scalediagramasFig.5,whichshowsthevariationofperiodicityintheeccentricityandinclinationofEarthinN+2integration.InFig.5,thedarkareashowsthatatthetimeindicatedbythevalueontheabscissa,theperiodicityindicatedbytheordinateisstrongerthaninthelighterareaaroundit.WecanrecognizefromthismapthattheperiodicityoftheeccentricityandinclinationofEarthonlychangesslightlyovertheentireperiodcoveredbytheN+2integration.Thisnearlyregurtrendisqualitativelythesameinotherintegrationsandforotherpnets,althoughtypicalfrequenciesdifferpnetbypnetandelementbyelement.
4.2Long-termexchangeoforbitalenergyandangurmomentum
Wecalcuteverylong-periodicvariationandexchangeofpnetaryorbitalenergyandangurmomentumusingfilteredDeunayelementsL,G,H.GandHareequivalenttothepnetaryorbitangurmomentumanditsverticalcomponentperunitmass.LisretedtothepnetaryorbitalenergyEperunitmassasE=μ22L2.Ifthesystemiscompletelylinear,theorbitalenergyandtheangurmomentumineachfrequencybinmustbeconstant.Non-linearityinthepnetarysystemcancauseanexchangeofenergyandangurmomentuminthefrequencydomain.Theamplitudeofthelowest-frequencyosciltionshouldincreaseifthesystemisunstableandbreaksdowngradually.However,suchasymptomofinstabilityisnotprominentinourlong-termintegrations.
InFig.7,thetotalorbitalenergyandangurmomentumofthefourinnerpnetsandallninepnetsareshownforintegrationN+2.Theupperthreepanelsshowthelong-periodicvariationoftotalenergy(denotedasE-E0),totangurmomentum(G-G0),andtheverticalcomponent(H-H0)oftheinnerfourpnetscalcutedfromthelow-passfilteredDeunayelements.E0,G0,H0denotetheinitialvaluesofeachquantity.Theabsolutedifferencefromtheinitialvaluesisplottedinthepanels.ThelowerthreepanelsineachfigureshowE-E0,G-G0andH-H0ofthetotalofninepnets.Thefluctuationshowninthelowerpanelsisvirtuallyentirelyaresultofthemassivejovianpnets.
Comparingthevariationsofenergyandangurmomentumoftheinnerfourpnetsandallninepnets,itisapparentthattheamplitudesofthoseoftheinnerpnetsaremuchsmallerthanthoseofallninepnets:theamplitudesoftheouterfivepnetsaremuchrgerthanthoseoftheinnerpnets.Thisdoesnotmeanthattheinnerterrestrialpnetarysubsystemismorestablethantheouterone:thisissimplyaresultoftheretivesmallnessofthemassesofthefourterrestrialpnetscomparedwiththoseoftheouterjovianpnets.Anotherthingwenoticeisthattheinnerpnetarysubsystemmaybecomeunstablemorerapidlythantheouteronebecauseofitsshorterorbitaltime-scales.Thiscanbeseeninthepanelsdenotedasinner4inFig.7wherethelonger-periodicandirregurosciltionsaremoreapparentthaninthepanelsdenotedastotal9.Actually,thefluctuationsintheinner4panelsaretoargeextentasaresultoftheorbitalvariationoftheMercury.However,wecannotneglectthecontributionfromotherterrestrialpnets,aswewillseeinsubsequentsections.
4.4Long-termcouplingofseveralneighbouringpnetpairs
Letusseesomeindividualvariationsofpnetaryorbitalenergyandangurmomentumexpressedbythelow-passfilteredDeunayelements.Figs10and11showlong-termevolutionoftheorbitalenergyofeachpnetandtheangurmomentuminN+1andN2integrations.Wenoticethatsomepnetsformapparentpairsintermsoforbitalenergyandangurmomentumexchange.Inparticur,VenusandEarthmakeatypicalpair.Inthefigures,theyshownegativecorretionsinexchangeofenergyandpositivecorretionsinexchangeofangurmomentum.Thenegativecorretioninexchangeoforbitalenergymeansthatthetwopnetsformacloseddynamicalsystemintermsoftheorbitalenergy.Thepositivecorretioninexchangeofangurmomentummeansthatthetwopnetsaresimultaneouslyundercertainlong-termperturbations.CandidatesforperturbersareJupiterandSaturn.AlsoinFig.11,wecanseethatMarsshowsapositivecorretionintheangurmomentumvariationtotheVenus–EarthsystemrcuryexhibitscertainnegativecorretionsintheangurmomentumversustheVenus–Earthsystem,whichseemstobeareactioncausedbytheconservationofangurmomentumintheterrestrialpnetarysubsystem.
ItisnotclearatthemomentwhytheVenus–Earthpairexhibitsanegativecorretioninenergyexchangeandapositivecorretioninangurmomentumexchange.Wemaypossiblyexpinthisthroughobservingthegeneralfactthattherearenosecurtermsinpnetarysemimajoraxesuptosecond-orderperturbationtheories(cf.Brouweramp;amp;Clemence1961;Boccalettiamp;amp;Pucacco1998).Thismeansthatthepnetaryorbitalenergy(whichisdirectlyretedtothesemimajoraxisa)mightbemuchlessaffectedbyperturbingpnetsthanistheangurmomentumexchange(whichretestoe).Hence,theeccentricitiesofVenusandEarthcanbedisturbedeasilybyJupiterandSaturn,whichresultsinapositivecorretionintheangurmomentumexchange.Ontheotherhand,thesemimajoraxesofVenusandEartharelesslikelytobedisturbedbythejovianpnets.ThustheenergyexchangemaybelimitedonlywithintheVenus–Earthpair,whichresultsinanegativecorretionintheexchangeoforbitalenergyinthepair.
Asfortheouterjovianpnetarysubsystem,Jupiter–SaturnandUranus–Neptuneseemtomakedynamicalpairs.However,thestrenhoftheircouplingisnotasstrongcomparedwiththatoftheVenus–Earthpair.
5±5×1010-yrintegrationsofouterpnetaryorbits
Sincethejovianpnetarymassesaremuchrgerthantheterrestrialpnetarymasses,wetreatthejovianpnetarysystemasanindependentpnetarysystemintermsofthestudyofitsdynamicalstability.Hence,weaddedacoupleoftrialintegrationsthatspan±5×1010yr,includingonlytheouterfivepnets(thefourjovianpnetsplusPluto).Theresultsexhibittherigorousstabilityoftheouterpnetarysystemoverthislongtime-span.Orbitalconfigurations(Fig.12),andvariationofeccentricitiesandinclinations(Fig.13)showthisverylong-termstabilityoftheouterfivepnetsinboththetimeandthefrequencydomains.Althoughwedonotshowmapshere,thetypicalfrequencyoftheorbitalosciltionofPlutoandtheotherouterpnetsisalmostconstantduringtheseverylong-termintegrationperiods,whichisdemonstratedinthetime–frequencymapsonourwebpage.
Inthesetwointegrations,theretivenumericalerrorinthetotalenergywas106andthatofthetotangurmomentumwas1010.
5.1ResonancesintheNeptune–Plutosystem
Kinoshitaamp;amp;Nakai(1996)integratedtheouterfivepnetaryorbitsover±5.5×109yr.TheyfoundthatfourmajorresonancesbetweenNeptuneandPlutoaremaintainedduringthewholeintegrationperiod,andthattheresonancesmaybethemaincausesofthestabilityoftheorbitofPluto.Themajorfourresonancesfoundinpreviousresearchareasfollows.Inthefollowingdescription,λdenotesthemeanlongitude,Ωisthelongitudeoftheascendingnodeandisthelongitudeofperihelion.SubscriptsPandNdenotePlutoandNeptune.
MeanmotionresonancebetweenNeptuneandPluto(3:2).Thecriticargumentθ1=3λP2λNPlibratesaround180°withanamplitudeofabout80°andalibrationperiodofabout2×104yr.
TheargumentofperihelionofPlutoωP=θ2=PΩPlibratesaround90°withaperiodofabout3.8×106yr.ThedominantperiodicvariationsoftheeccentricityandinclinationofPlutoaresynchronizedwiththelibrationofitsargumentofperihelion.ThisisanticipatedinthesecurperturbationtheoryconstructedbyKozai(1962).
ThelongitudeofthenodeofPlutoreferredtothelongitudeofthenodeofNeptune,θ3=ΩPΩN,circutesandtheperiodofthiscircutionisequaltotheperiodofθ2libration.Whenθ3becomeszero,i.e.thelongitudesofascendingnodesofNeptuneandPlutooverp,theinclinationofPlutobecomesmaximum,theeccentricitybecomesminimumandtheargumentofperihelionbecomes90°.Whenθ3becomes180°,theinclinationofPlutobecomesminimum,theeccentricitybecomesmaximumandtheargumentofperihelionbecomes90°again.Williamsamp;amp;Benson(1971)anticipatedthistypeofresonance,terconfirmedbyMini,Nobiliamp;amp;Carpino(1989).
Anargumentθ4=PN+3(ΩPΩN)libratesaround180°withalongperiod,5.7×108yr.
Inournumericalintegrations,theresonances(i)–(iii)arewellmaintained,andvariationofthecriticargumentsθ1,θ2,θ3remainsimirduringthewholeintegrationperiod(Figs14–16).However,thefourthresonance(iv)appearstobedifferent:thecriticargumentθ4alternateslibrationandcircutionovera1010-yrtime-scale(Fig.17).ThisisaninterestingfactthatKinoshitaamp;amp;Nakai's(1995,1996)shorterintegrationswerenotabletodisclose.
6Discussion
Whatkindofdynamicalmechanismmaintainsthislong-termstabilityofthepnetarysystem?Wecanimmediatelythinkoftwomajorfeaturesthatmayberesponsibleforthelong-termstability.First,thereseemtobenosignificantlower-orderresonances(meanmotionandsecur)betweenanypairamongtheninepnets.JupiterandSaturnareclosetoa5:2meanmotionresonance(thefamous‘greatinequality’),butnotjustintheresonancezone.Higher-orderresonancesmaycausethechaoticnatureofthepnetarydynamicalmotion,buttheyarenotsostrongastodestroythestablepnetarymotionwithinthelifetimeoftherealSorsystem.Thesecondfeature,whichwethinkismoreimportantforthelong-termstabilityofourpnetarysystem,isthedifferenceindynamicaldistancebetweenterrestriandjovianpnetarysubsystems(Itoamp;amp;Tanikawa1999,2001).WhenwemeasurepnetaryseparationsbythemutualHillradii(R_),separationsamongterrestrialpnetsaregreaterthan26RH,whereasthoseamongjovianpnetsarelessthan14RH.Thisdifferenceisdirectlyretedtothedifferencebetweendynamicalfeaturesofterrestriandjovianpnets.Terrestrialpnetshavesmallermasses,shorterorbitalperiodsandwiderdynamicalseparation.Theyarestronglyperturbedbyjovianpnetsthathavergermasses,longerorbitalperiodsandnarrowerdynamicalseparation.Jovianpnetsarenotperturbedbyanyothermassivebodies.
Thepresentterrestrialpnetarysystemisstillbeingdisturbedbythemassivejovianpnets.However,thewideseparationandmutualinteractionamongtheterrestrialpnetsrendersthedisturbanceineffective;thedegreeofdisturbancebyjovianpnetsisO(eJ)(orderofmagnitudeoftheeccentricityofJupiter),sincethedisturbancecausedbyjovianpnetsisaforcedosciltionhavinganamplitudeofO(eJ).Heighteningofeccentricity,forexampleO(eJ)0.05,isfarfromsufficienttoprovokeinstabilityintheterrestrialpnetshavingsuchawideseparationas26RH.Thusweassumethatthepresentwidedynamicalseparationamongterrestrialpnets(amp;;26RH)isprobablyoneofthemostsignificantconditionsformaintainingthestabilityofthepnetarysystemovera109-yrtime-span.Ourdetailedanalysisoftheretionshipbetweendynamicaldistancebetweenpnetsandtheinstabilitytime-scaleofSorsystempnetarymotionisnowon-going.
AlthoughournumericalintegrationsspanthelifetimeoftheSorsystem,thenumberofintegrationsisfarfromsufficienttofilltheinitialphasespace.Itisnecessarytoperformmoreandmorenumericalintegrationstoconfirmandexamineindetailthelong-termstabilityofourpnetarydynamics.
——以上文段引自Ito,T.amp;Tanikawa,K.Long-termintegrationsandstabilityofpnetaryorbitsinourSorSystem.Mon.Not.R.Astron.Soc.336,483–500(2002)
这只是作者君参考的一篇文章,关于太阳系的稳定性。
还有其他论文,不过也都是英文的,相关课题的中文文献很少,那些论文下载一篇要九美元(《Nature》真是暴利),作者君写这篇文章的时候已经回家,不在检测中心,所以没有数据库的使用权,下不起,就不贴上来了。

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