了,整个社会处在悬崖边缘,行将崩溃。
narrator: bolivia's politis were paralyzed. only oo know what to do.
旁白:###的政治家们麻木了,只有一个人似乎知道该怎么办。
jeffrey sachs: i met a man at a cocktail party ohe evenings at work. i didn't know him at all. i introduced myself. he said, ”what are you doing?” i said, ”oh, i'm writing an ei for the .”
杰裴里.萨克斯(jeffrey sachs):一天晚上,我在一次工作之后的鸡尾酒会上遇到一个人,我根本就不认识这个人。我向他作了自我介绍,他问我:“你在干嘛?”我回答说:“哦,我正在为下一任政府制定经济计划。”
gonzalo sanchez de lozada: and i said, ”i'm very, very pleased that you're studying this, because we're goihese guys, and you e and work for us.” so they all laughed.
孔塞洛.桑切斯.洛塞塔(gonzalo sanchez de lozada):我当时说:“非常高兴看到你在研究这些事情,因为我们将战胜这些家伙,你可以来和我们一起干。”他们都笑了。
jeffrey sachs: he said: ”oh, that's very iing. what do you have in mind?” and i described a few elements, basically how to stop hyperinflation. and he said: ”no, no, you have to go mud that. you don't uand. we need so much more. yoing on the surface. this eeds a plete overhaul. we've got to get out of the mess that we're in.” i wasn't sure whether he rovokiher he was kiddiher he was sober, whether he k he was doing. it turhat this was goni, gonzalo sanchez de lozada -- a genius.
杰裴里.萨克斯(jeffrey sachs):他说:“哦,这非常有意思,那你有什么想法?”于是我谈了一下我的看法,主要是有关如何制止恶性通货膨胀的。他说:“不,不,你必须还要考虑其他的事情,你不明白,我们不仅仅需要制止通货膨胀,其它的很多问题也急需解决,你还只是涉及到问题的皮毛。这个国家需要一次彻底的修整,我们要度过我们正在经历的各种难关。”我当时不明白他是否是有意戏弄我,是否是在跟我开玩笑,是否是认真的,是否知道他在干什么,后来才知道,他就是孔塞洛.桑切斯.洛塞塔——一个天才。
书 包 网 txt小说上传分享
chapter 11: shock therapy applied [4:48]
第十一章: 休克疗法的应用
narratoni's party did wiion, and he beister of plahe president that bolivia was running out of time.
旁白:孔塞洛的政党的确在选举中获得了胜利,他出任计划部部长,他告诉总统,###的时间是很有限的。
juan cariaga: we told him, ”you have 90 days before bolivia's hyperinflatiohe highest inflation in world history.” so he told us, ”okay, you have 20 days; you have t now.”
胡安.卡里加(juan cariaga):我们告诉他,“再过90天,###的通货膨胀率就要变成历史上最高的恶性通货膨胀率了,”他告诉我们,“好吧,我给你们20天的时间,你们必须从现在起就开始工作。”
gonzalo sanchez de lozada: there was a big dis whether you could stop a hyperinflation or an inflatioaking gradualist steps. in this jeff safluential. he said: ”all this gradualist stuff just doesn't work. whes out of trol you've got to stop it, like a medie. you've got to take some radical steps; otherwise your patient is going to die.”
孔塞洛.桑切斯.洛塞塔(gonzalo sanchez de lozada):对于能否采用一个渐进的步骤来终止恶性通货膨胀或一般的通货膨胀的问题,我们进行了大规模的讨论。在这方面,杰裴里.萨克斯(jeffrey sachs)是很有影响力的,他说:“所有这些渐进的措施都是无用的,当事情真的无法控制时,你必须制止它,像打针吃药一样,你必须采用一些激进的措施,否则你的病人便会死去。”
narrator: to avoid leaks, they worked at home. every few days, gohe president.
旁白:为防止出现纰漏,他们都在家中工作。每隔几天,孔塞洛就要向总统汇报一次。
gonzalo sanchez de lozada: we said: ”look, boys, you've got one d remember, as machiavelli said, 'it's all the bad ohe good le by little.'” so he said, ”get it all done.” shet it et it doop hyperinflatio rebuilding your ey so you achieve growth.
孔塞洛.桑切斯.洛塞塔(gonzalo sanchez de lozada):我们讲:“好吧,孩子们,你们只有一次机会,记住,正像马基雅弗利(machiavelli)所说的那样‘坏消息总是一下子都来了,而好消息则只会一点一点地来’。”于是他说,“开始行动吧。”休克疗法就是终止这场恶性通货膨胀,重建你们的经济,使你们重新获得增长。
narratust 1985, go public rogram called ”shock therapy.”
旁白:1985年8月,孔塞洛宣布实行一个被称为“休克疗法”的项目。
juan cariaga: it caught everybody by surprise. it had great credibility. it was a shock.
胡安.卡里加(juan cariaga):这使得所有人都大吃一惊。它的可信度很高。太不可思议了。
narrator: shock therapy spelled the death of depeheover spending ritrols ort tariffs were es were balanced.
旁白:休克疗法宣告了依赖理论的死亡,政府开支被大量缩减,价格控制被废弃,进口关税大大降低,政府预算平衡了。
juan cariaga: we didn't use highly sophistiic theory to deal with hyperinflatio used very simple things, su now o will o it gets. you get one peso, spend one peso; you get two pesos, spend two pesos. if we don't have it, we don't spend it. n from the tral bank, ahe tral bank did money.
胡安.卡里加(juan cariaga):我们并没有采用什么高深的经济学理论来对付通货膨胀,我们使用的只是一些简单的手段,比如,从现在起政府只能量入为出,有一比索才能花一比索,有两比索才能花两比索,没有就别花,不允许从中央银行借款,所以中央银行就不必印钞票了。
narrator: shock therapy meant that the price of essentials -- transport, food, fuel -- all shot up. until thehought that only a military dictatorship like chile's pose such
本文链接:
http://m.picdg.com/19_19714/3657494.html